Wednesday, November 07, 2007
VENTURE CORPORATION
3QFY07: Creating value for sustainable margins
Venture reported net profit of S$76.3m (+29.4% yoy) on sales of $935.9m
(+17.1% yoy). The results were slightly better than our net profit forecast of
S$74.4m. Venture incurred marked-to-market adjustment of S$6.9m for
investments in collateralised debt obligations (CDOs). This was offset by writeback
of tax provision of S$6.7m as the company has extended its pioneer status
for production facilities in Singapore and Johor, Malaysia.
Top line affected by inventory adjustment. Revenue grew 17.7% yoy but
contracted 6.8% qoq. There was significant impact from one-time rationalisation
of channel inventory by a major customer during 3Q07. This has led to a 20.3%
qoq decrease in revenue contribution from Printing & Imaging segment to
S$237m. Revenue contribution from Retail Store Solutions/ Industrial Products
was relatively unchanged at S$228.3m. Top line growth was affected by
significant decline of the US$, which weakened from 1.5303 in Jun 07 to 1.4852
in Sep 07 against S$.
Creating value for sustainable margins. EBITDA margin expanded from
19.2% in 3Q06 to 21.5% in 3Q07. Net margin has similarly expanded from 7.4%
in 3Q06 to 8.2% in 3Q07. The better margins were achieved through
diversification of product and customer base and increase in original design &
manufacturing (ODM) activities. Venture creates more value add for customers
by providing design and test development services.
Venture generated cash flow from operations of S$175.6m in 3Q07. Its cash
holding has increased to S$486.9m and net debt/equity ratio has reduced to
0.06x. The company is moving closer to a net cash position.
Planning long-term expansion within IDR. Venture has added 150,000sf of
production floor space in Johor, Malaysia and will renovate the Penang plant to
create more production floor space. The company has about 12 buildings within
the Iskandar Development Region (IDR). Venture plans to expand within the IDR
over the longer term.
Plans to hold CDOs till maturity. Venture invested in two tranche of CDOs
embedded with credit derivatives in 2004, which were valued at S$206.1m as at
Dec 06. The CDOs are backed by a global portfolio of investment grade
corporate bonds issued by companies in a diversified range of industries and
geographical markets. There is no exposure to mortgages. Venture received
regular interest payments and intends to hold the CDOs till maturity (Jun 08 and
Dec 09). The investment represents 11.2% of shareholders’ funds.
Reiterate BUY. We like Venture for its defensive qualities (customer
relationships for high-mix business are more enduring) and strong free cash
flow. Our target price for Venture is S$18.50 or FY08 PE of 15x (Benchmark
Electronics: 14.5x, Flextronics 13x, Jabil Circuit 13.8x and Plexus Corp: 16.5x)
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